The Econometric Modelling of Financial Time SeriesCambridge University Press, 2008 M03 20 - 468 páginas Terence Mills' best-selling graduate textbook provides detailed coverage of research techniques and findings relating to the empirical analysis of financial markets. In its previous editions it has become required reading for many graduate courses on the econometrics of financial modelling. This third edition, co-authored with Raphael Markellos, contains a wealth of material reflecting the developments of the last decade. Particular attention is paid to the wide range of nonlinear models that are used to analyse financial data observed at high frequencies and to the long memory characteristics found in financial time series. The central material on unit root processes and the modelling of trends and structural breaks has been substantially expanded into a chapter of its own. There is also an extended discussion of the treatment of volatility, accompanied by a new chapter on nonlinearity and its testing. |
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Página 2
... correlation between successive price changes, but, as Cowles (1960) was later to remark, this was probably due to their taking monthly averages of daily or weekly prices before computing changes: a 'spurious correlation' phenomenon ...
... correlation between successive price changes, but, as Cowles (1960) was later to remark, this was probably due to their taking monthly averages of daily or weekly prices before computing changes: a 'spurious correlation' phenomenon ...
Página 12
... correlated with previous values, the length and strength of the 'memory' of the process. 2.2. Stochastic. difference. equations. A fundamental theorem in time series analysis, known as Wold's decomposition (Wold, 1938: see Hamilton, 1994 ...
... correlated with previous values, the length and strength of the 'memory' of the process. 2.2. Stochastic. difference. equations. A fundamental theorem in time series analysis, known as Wold's decomposition (Wold, 1938: see Hamilton, 1994 ...
Página 15
... correlated and the generated series has a tendency to exhibit 'low-frequency' trends. With <0 (d), however, adjacent values have a negative correlation and the generated series displays violent, rapid oscillations. –1.0 1.0 –0.5 0.0 0.5 ...
... correlated and the generated series has a tendency to exhibit 'low-frequency' trends. With <0 (d), however, adjacent values have a negative correlation and the generated series displays violent, rapid oscillations. –1.0 1.0 –0.5 0.0 0.5 ...
Página 17
... correlated, observations more than one period apart are not, so that the 'memory' of the process is just one period: this 'jump' to zero autocorrelation at k = 2 may be contrasted with the smooth, exponential decay of the ACF of an AR(1) ...
... correlated, observations more than one period apart are not, so that the 'memory' of the process is just one period: this 'jump' to zero autocorrelation at k = 2 may be contrasted with the smooth, exponential decay of the ACF of an AR(1) ...
Términos y frases comunes
À Á allow alternative analysis approach approximation ARCH assumed assumption asymptotic autocorrelation average behaviour bilinear cent changes chapter cointegration component computed conditional consider consistent constant contain converges correction correlation critical values ð Þ defined dependence developed discussed distribution effect empirical equation error estimated evidence example expected extension Figure financial first forecast function future GARCH given Granger hypothesis implies important independent integrated interest known limiting linear mean noise non-linear normal Note null observations obtained parameters period positive possible present procedure properties proposed provides random walk ratio regression rejected relationship requires residuals respectively response restrictions returns sample shown shows significant simple squared standard stationary statistic stochastic suggest tail trend unit root values variables variance vector volatility written yields zero
Pasajes populares
Página 12 - A stochastic process is said to be strictly stationary if its properties are unaffected by a change of time origin, that is, if the joint probability distribution associated with m observations...
Referencias a este libro
Probability Theory and Statistical Inference: Econometric Modeling with ... Aris Spanos Vista previa limitada - 1999 |
Extreme Financial Risks: From Dependence to Risk Management Yannick Malevergne,Didier Sornette Sin vista previa disponible - 2006 |